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Chicago Cubs

Bet on the Chicago Cubs to Win Over 89 Games in 2019

Post Views: 162

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The regular season went better than expected. They won 95 games vs an expected win total of 92. They exceeded expectations at home. Their 63% home win percentage was better than expected (60.2%). They won 54.3% on the road which was as expected (53.4%). We are only projecting 91.6 wins in our latest season forecast for next season and are projected to finish third in the National League. There is not much of a gap between them and the #5 ranked Cardinals who are projected for 88.6 wins.

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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Since last season their average run differential is +0.7 which ranks #2 in the NL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #2 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #5 in home games.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

Situation Runs Batting Avg OPS
All 164 Games 4.6 (#5) 0.257 (#1) 0.582 (#8)
Road 4.6 (#4) 0.255 (#3) 0.593 (#5)
Home 4.6 (#6) 0.260 (#3) 0.572 (#7)

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Situation Runs Batting Avg OPS
All 3.9 (#2) 0.239 (#5) 0.561 (#4)
Road 3.7 (#1) 0.232 (#4 0.572 (#7)
Home 4.2 (#8) 0.246 (#10) 0.558 (#4)

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TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG

Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the Cubs in all of their games would have earned a +256 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the run line, they have lost -3 units risking 100 units on each pick (81-81 PL). The Cubs have turned a run line profit on the road but have lost at home.

Season Recap GS-GA Money Line Run Line Record O/U Record
All Games 4.7 – 4.0 95-67, +256 81-81, -3 72-88 55% Under
On Road 4.6 – 3.7 44-37, -50 48-33, +884 38-42 52.5% Under
At Home 4.7 – 4.3 51-30, +256 33-48, -887 34-46 57.5% Under
9/30 STL 10-5 Win +62 Covered -1.5 Over 8.5
9/29 STL 1-2 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8
9/28 STL 8-4 Win +69 Covered -1.5 Over 8
9/27 PIT 3-0 Win +63 Covered -1.5 Under 9
9/26 PIT 7-6 Win +53 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 8
9/25 PIT 0-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9
9/24 PIT 1-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8
9/23 @CHW 6-1 Win +54 Covered -1.5 Under 8.5
9/22 @CHW 8-3 Win +45 Covered -1.5 Over 9
9/21 @CHW 4-10 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9
9/19 @ARI 0-9 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 7.5
9/18 @ARI 9-1 Win +98 Covered -1.5 Over 8.5
9/17 @ARI 5-1 Win +133 Covered +1.5 Under 7.5
9/16 CIN 1-2 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8
9/15 CIN 1-0 Win +47 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
9/14 CIN 3-2 Win +48 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
9/13 @WAS 4-3 Win +87 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9.5
9/12 MIL 1-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
9/11 MIL 3-0 Win +78 Covered -1.5 Under 9
9/10 MIL 2-3 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
9/8 @WAS 5-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9
9/8 @WAS 3-10 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 8
9/6 @WAS 6-4 Win +93 Covered +1.5 Over 8.5
9/5 @MIL 6-4 Win +95 Covered +1.5 Over 8.5
9/4 @MIL 1-11 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9
9/3 @MIL 3-4 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
9/2 @PHI 8-1 Win +115 Covered +1.5 Over 8
9/1 @PHI 7-1 Win +79 Covered -1.5 Under 9
8/31 @PHI 1-2 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Under 8.5
8/30 @ATL 5-4 Win +120 Covered +1.5 Over 8.5
8/29 NYM 3-10 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 8.5
8/28 NYM 2-1 Win +91 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8
8/27 NYM 7-4 Win +76 Covered -1.5 Over 10.5
8/26 CIN 9-0 Win +38 Covered -1.5 Under 10
8/25 CIN 10-6 Win +58 Covered -1.5 Over 10
8/24 CIN 3-2 Win +50 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 11.5
8/23 CIN 7-1 Win +48 Covered -1.5 Under 9
8/22 @DET 8-2 Win +57 Covered -1.5 Over 9.5
8/21 @DET 1-2 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
8/19 @PIT 1-2 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Under 8
8/18 @PIT 1-3 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 8.5
8/17 @PIT 1-0 Win +79 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8
8/16 @PIT 1-0 Win +83 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
8/15 MIL 8-4 Win +69 Covered -1.5 Over 9
8/14 MIL 0-7 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9.5
8/12 WAS 4-3 Win +123 Covered +1.5 Under 7.5
8/11 WAS 4-9 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9
8/10 WAS 3-2 Win +74 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
8/8 @KC 0-9 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9.5
8/7 @KC 5-0 Win +56 Covered -1.5 Under 8.5
8/6 @KC 3-1 Win +48 Covered -1.5 Under 9
8/5 SD 6-10 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 10.5
8/4 SD 5-4 Win +38 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 10.5
8/3 SD 5-4 Win +44 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 8.5
8/2 SD 1-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
8/1 @PIT 9-2 Win +76 Covered -1.5 Over 8
7/31 @PIT 4-5 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Over 7.5
7/29 @STL 5-2 Win +78 Covered -1.5 Under 8.5
7/28 @STL 2-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 8.5
7/27 @STL 2-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 9
7/26 ARI 7-6 Win +100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9.5
7/25 ARI 2-1 Win +90 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
7/24 ARI 1-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9
7/23 ARI 1-7 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
7/22 STL 7-2 Win +75 Covered -1.5 Over 8
7/21 STL 3-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 8.5
7/21 STL 7-2 Win +93 Covered -1.5 Over 8.5
7/20 STL 5-18 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 10.5
7/19 STL 9-6 Win +66 Covered -1.5 Over 9.5
7/15 @SD 7-4 Win +68 Covered -1.5 Over 8
7/14 @SD 11-6 Win +57 Covered -1.5 Over 8.5
7/13 @SD 5-4 Win +80 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 8.5
7/11 @SF 4-5 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Over 8
7/10 @SF 2-0 Win +72 Covered -1.5 Under 8
7/9 @SF 1-2 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Under 8
7/8 CIN 6-5 Win +65 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 8.5
7/7 CIN 8-7 Win +71 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9.5
7/6 CIN 2-3 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 7.5
7/4 DET 5-2 Win +43 Covered -1.5 Under 9
7/3 DET 5-3 Win +50 Covered -1.5 Under 8.5
7/1 MIN 11-10 Win +57 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 12
6/30 MIN 14-9 Win +71 Covered -1.5 Over 10.5
6/29 MIN 10-6 Win +76 Covered -1.5 Over 9.5
6/28 @LAD 11-5 Win +170 Covered +1.5 Over 7.5
6/27 @LAD 5-7 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 7.5
6/26 @LAD 9-4 Win +140 Covered +1.5 Over 7.5
6/25 @LAD 1-2 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Under 8.5
6/24 @CIN 6-8 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9.5
6/23 @CIN 2-11 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9.5
6/22 @CIN 3-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 8.5
6/21 @CIN 2-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9.5
6/20 LAD 4-0 Win +101 Covered +1.5 Under 7.5
6/19 LAD 2-1 Win +83 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8
6/19 LAD 3-4 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Under 8.5
6/17 @STL 0-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
6/16 @STL 6-3 Win +79 Covered -1.5 Over 8.5
6/15 @STL 13-5 Win +91 Covered -1.5 Over 8.5
6/13 @MIL 0-1 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Under 8.5
6/12 @MIL 0-4 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 9
6/11 @MIL 7-2 Win +82 Covered -1.5 Over 8
6/10 PIT 1-7 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9
6/9 PIT 2-0 Win +60 Covered -1.5 Under 8
6/8 PIT 3-1 Win +63 Covered -1.5 Under 8
6/7 PHI 4-3 Win +85 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8
6/6 PHI 7-5 Win +74 Covered -1.5 Over 7.5
6/5 PHI 1-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 7.5
6/3 @NYM 2-0 Win +62 Covered -1.5 Under 7.5
6/2 @NYM 7-1 Win +100 Covered +1.5 Over 7
6/1 @NYM 7-4 Win +95 Covered -1.5 Over 9
5/31 @NYM 5-1 Win +60 Covered -1.5 Under 8
5/30 @PIT 1-2 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8
5/29 @PIT 8-6 Win +77 Covered -1.5 Over 8.5
5/28 @PIT 7-0 Win +97 Covered +1.5 Under 9
5/27 SF 8-3 Win +56 Covered -1.5 Over 10
5/26 SF 4-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9.5
5/25 SF 6-2 Win +38 Covered -1.5 Under 10.5
5/23 CLE 0-1 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
5/22 CLE 1-10 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 7.5
5/20 @CIN 6-1 Win +73 Covered -1.5 Under 9
5/19 @CIN 10-0 Win +53 Covered -1.5 Over 9
5/19 @CIN 4-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Push 9
5/18 @CIN 8-1 Win +60 Covered -1.5 Under 9.5
5/16 @ATL 1-4 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9.5
5/15 @ATL 3-2 Win +85 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9
5/14 ATL 5-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 8.5
5/13 CHW 3-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
5/12 CHW 8-4 Win +38 Covered -1.5 Over 7.5
5/11 CHW 11-2 Win +40 Covered -1.5 Over 8
5/9 MIA 13-4 Win +43 Covered -1.5 Over 11
5/8 MIA 4-3 Win +42 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9
5/7 MIA 14-2 Win +50 Covered -1.5 Over 8
5/6 @STL 3-4 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Under 8.5
5/5 @STL 6-8 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 8.5
5/4 @STL 2-3 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Under 8
5/2 COL 2-11 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 10.5
5/1 COL 1-3 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 10.5
4/30 COL 3-2 Win +51 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 10
4/29 MIL 2-0 Win +67 Covered -1.5 Under 8.5
4/28 MIL 3-0 Win +62 Covered -1.5 Under 7
4/27 MIL 3-2 Win +59 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 7.5
4/26 MIL 1-0 Win +60 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
4/25 @CLE 1-4 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 7.5
4/24 @CLE 10-3 Win +122 Covered +1.5 Over 9
4/22 @COL 9-7 Win +89 Covered -1.5 Over 10.5
4/21 @COL 2-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9.5
4/20 @COL 16-5 Win +98 Covered +1.5 Over 9.5
4/19 STL 8-5 Win +82 Covered -1.5 Over 7
4/17 STL 3-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Push 8
4/14 ATL 14-10 Win +56 Covered -1.5 Over 6.5
4/13 ATL 0-4 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 7.5
4/12 PIT 1-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
4/11 PIT 13-5 Win +60 Covered -1.5 Over 8
4/10 PIT 5-8 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9
4/8 @MIL 3-0 Win +88 Covered -1.5 Under 8.5
4/7 @MIL 5-2 Win +71 Covered -1.5 Under 9
4/6 @MIL 4-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 8.5
4/5 @MIL 8-0 Win +93 Covered -1.5 Under 9
4/2 @CIN 0-1 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
4/1 @MIA 0-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8
3/31 @MIA 10-6 Win +48 Covered -1.5 Over 8
3/30 @MIA 1-2 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
3/29 @MIA 8-4 Win +44 Covered -1.5 Over 8

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